MUSASHI

What a review looks like.

Here are twelve examples: good matches, wrong matches, and cases where we need more evidence.

The exact Fed meeting and rate change

Good match

The headline or input

The Federal Reserve lowered its target range by a quarter percentage point at its September 2025 meeting.

Read the source ↗

The selected market

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Open the market ↗

Our review

The source and contract identify the same FOMC meeting and upper-bound change. The reported quarter-point cut directly addresses the 25bp contract. This is an after-the-event review, not a prediction.

Sources and contract details
Venue / market ID
polymarket / 542538
Source publication time
2025-09-17 18:00:00 UTC
Venue end date (metadata)
2025-09-17 12:00:00 UTC
Rules source
Venue record ↗
Contract checked
2026-11-01 01:50:23 UTC
Batch reviewed
2026-11-01 01:50:23 UTC
  • Source 1 ↗ — The September 17 statement reports the target range moving to 4.00–4.25 percent.
  • Source 2 ↗ — Rules concern the upper-bound change at the September 16–17, 2025 FOMC meeting. API endDate is 12:00 UTC on September 17, earlier than the 18:00 UTC announcement; that metadata is not the rule-defined event time.
Download all 12 reviews as JSON ↓
About these examples

These are retrospective reviews of historical sources, not live signals or a point-in-time backtest. Inputs are paraphrased. Three examples deliberately withhold information and are labeled incomplete-input demonstrations. Venue end dates are raw API metadata; contract rules govern the actual condition and timing. Unknown publication times stay unknown.